A paired bootstrap over the 149 unseen gold frames (2026-10-02) showed that a
difference between two models carries about +-0.023 of noise in F1, +-0.018 in
the mask score and +-0.10 in crystal F1, while the gate's tolerance was 0.005.
- tools/gate_stats.py: per-frame counts and a paired bootstrap (pure Python).
- train_run.py: when the baseline's gold predictions exist, the gate requires
the candidate to beat it on F1 or the mask score in 90 % of the draws and
not to lose the other in more than 90 %; the point rule is the fallback and
is always reported (pass_point_rule).
- tools/compare_unseen.py replaces the Spark's ~/fair_gate_all.py: all models
on the frames none trained on, on the frozen core (data/gold/unseen_core.json,
149 frames) and on all unseen frames once the gold set grows, with the
interval and win share against the active model.
- measure_weights.py keeps a version's gate verdict when it re-measures it.
- tools/spark_cycle.sh: gold growth, export, re-measure, train, gate, compare,
push, with what cycles 3 and 4 taught built in.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
